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![[info]](http://p-stat.livejournal.com/img/userinfo.gif) vexen | |
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"The fantastic population explosion that the Earth is experiencing is uneven. The developed world is gradually experiencing a reduction in growth, leading to an actual decline in population. The result is that even as the West grows old, much of the world becomes more and more overpopulated. As a result the increase in the amount of retired people, and the decrease in workers paying into pensions schemes, all pensions schemes are already starting to collapse. Also, most industries rely on young adult immigrants as the local workforces are becoming increasingly scarce. Our economy and future depends on pulling increasingly greater numbers of workers from countries that are not yet entering the post-explosion era. Developed countries must maintain strong armies to protect themselves from the rumblings of unrest in the overpopulated countries, and to protect such unstable countries from each other, and we must also keep a continual watch over the developing nations in order to aid them past the population-explosion stages in their history. To think that there is no problem or to ignore it is to invite the collapse of civilised Western society under a tide of economic collapses brought on by overpopulation and civil chaos. At the end of the day, if there is no solution to wars and overpopulation, may the most advanced countries survive!" New page contents: - The Population of the Earth
- The Ageing West: The Pensions Crises and Immigration
- Cultural War Between Post-Explosion and Population-Explosion Countries
- Conclusions
Tags: ageing population, immigration, pensions, people, population, war
Current Location: Mazaar-e-Sherif, Afghanistan
Current Mood:  calm
Listening To: Silence
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From: vexen |
Date: August 9th, 2006 07:26 pm (UTC) |
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1. I think that as our economist are *so* far ahead of those of the developing world, that even with stability immigration will still occur. People still move from the USA to other countries; as with Japan, there are more than purely economic/stability in mind when people migrate... but, I hope it's not true what you say... that it is to our advantage to keep them unstable. I think not actually... economically, the whole world suffers when individual countries' economies suffer... for example when the Russian currency collapsed, Polands collapsed... this domino effect is always in effect. When countries gain stability, the effect is cumulative (as in Scandanivian countries)... I'd like to think that if we can stabilize the economies of struggling countries, it has an overall positive effect on Europe and the developed world. So... I'd still guess that stabilization would be better in general, for our economy and industry, even if it might seem that de-stabilisation would work better in the short-term. Or am I just being optimistic?
2. I don't know how my pre-amble contradicts my "solution" - I don't really know what the "solution" is to the emerging demographic crises in the West (apart from making sure we continue to allow proper immigration). I don't see this contradicts the simultaneous maintaining of good armed defences, just in case, you know, the 'war' scenarious keep on occurring.
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| From: flashcat |
Date: August 10th, 2006 03:35 pm (UTC) |
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I read something very interesting in a magazine a few months back; will have to find that article again and see if they offer it online. It describes how discrepancies in birth rates and overall population in terms of the amount of youth vs. the number of aging/aged can actually prompt societies to become more patriarchal, and thus indirectly more war-prone. Apparently back in the enlightened years of civilizations like Greece, the birth rate declined, and throughout time there have been similar declines in the more "enlightened" cultures. However, these peoples eventually end up getting overrun by other nations simply by means of their strength in numbers (think: Rome).
Now as far as pensions go, I don't know how they handle it in the U.K., but in the U.S. there's Social Security and Medicare--both of which are threatened and a source of eternal tension within politics and workers paying in vs. older recipients benefiting from. The immigration issue is a very hotly contended one right now, especially in California, with the burgeoning influx of illegal immigrants usually coming from Mexico both contributing and yet also stressing the state economy and causing all kinds of social divisiveness. I tend to think that if Mexico got its economic stuff together, it wouldn't be such an issue, and with the ongoing population problem at least here in CA, I think more and more people are eventually going to see the wisdom in helping out Mexico (if the government would stop its corrupted practices, that is!).
I'm confused as to how current Islamic nations would experience an 'enlightenment' of the sort that would lend itself to more stability and prosperity. That would require either changing the religion itself, or completely overhauling the attitudes of some of its practitioners-- or abolishing the practice of it altogether in favor of something less ... narrow.
And one thing we should remember: sometimes it's not war or economic collapse that evens out or reduces overpopulation. There are diseases and viruses that do the job just as well, and in overly populated areas, with something contagious--even moreso!
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